Dalius - Special Sits (@InvestSpecial) stock calls: track record, win rate and every call
As of October 8, 2026, MCAFax has logged 27 calls from Dalius - Special Sits (@InvestSpecial): 24 bullish, 3 bearish and 0 neutral. Career record on scored calls: 4-16 (.200 win rate), averaging -11.7 points versus the S&P 500 per call. Leaderboard status: Ranked #8 (career).
Not investment advice; for research and education.
Stat line
| View | Calls scored | W-L | Win % | Avg edge vs S&P | Best call | Worst call | Streak | Last 10 | Longs | Shorts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career | 20 | 4-16 | .200 | -11.7 | CVGI +85.2 | WJL.AX -58.5 | L4 | 1-9 | 2-16 | 2-0 |
| Season (trailing 12 months) | 16 | 2-14 | .125 | -21.7 | PETS +53.0 | WJL.AX -58.5 | L4 | 1-9 | 0-14 | 2-0 |
Calls scored counts directional calls at least 180 days old, with repeats counted once. Edge is in percentage points versus the S&P 500. Streak and Last 10 run in date order, most recent last.
Ranked or unranked?
Career: Ranked #8 (career). 9 players are ranked on the career board. Season (trailing 12 months): Ranked #5 (season).
A player needs at least 15 scored calls in a view to be ranked. See the leaderboard.
Style and specialty
- Style: event-driven / special situations (M&A bumps, activism, liquidations, spin-offs)
- Why we track this account: Added as an extended north star 2026-10-08. Runs Special Situation Investing; posts several dated, named special-sit calls a week with price/target math.
- What to keep in mind: Promotes a paid picks service; tracking-portfolio return is self-reported; many posts relay other investors' pitches ("Pitch by ...") - those are not logged as his calls.
- Followers on X: 35,409 (checked Oct 8, 2026)
- MCAFax status: Extended roster
Scored calls (game log)
| Date | Ticker | Call | Price at call | Current / outcome | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | WJL.AX | Bullish (long) | $0.52 | $0.29 on Oct 7, 2026 | L, -58.5 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Apr 9, 2026 | CHGG | Bullish (long) | $0.89 | $0.71 on Oct 6, 2026 | L, -35.5 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Apr 8, 2026 | CODI | Bullish (long) | $9.61 | $11.06 on Oct 5, 2026 | L, -2.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Apr 8, 2026 | PLTK | Bullish (long) | $3.14 | $2.18 on Oct 5, 2026 | L, -48.1 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Apr 3, 2026 | SOFI | Bearish (short) | $15.85 | $15.72 on Sep 30, 2026 | W, +17.1 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Apr 3, 2026 | ELME | Bullish (long) | $2.05 | $1.74 on Sep 30, 2026 | L, -31.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 26, 2026 | DRVN | Bullish (long) | $13.00 | $12.27 on Sep 22, 2026 | L, -25.5 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 26, 2026 | CTRI | Bullish (long) | $30.45 | $20.03 on Sep 22, 2026 | L, -52.0 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 18, 2026 | EEFT | Bullish (long) | $71.55 | $71.26 on Sep 14, 2026 | L, -13.9 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 18, 2026 | OSUR | Bullish (long) | $2.98 | $3.37 on Sep 14, 2026 | L, -0.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 13, 2026 | PZZA | Bullish (long) | $36.12 | $21.63 on Sep 9, 2026 | L, -54.6 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 13, 2026 | VRA | Bullish (long) | $3.38 | $3.08 on Sep 9, 2026 | L, -23.3 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 9, 2026 | XPOF | Bullish (long) | $5.83 | $4.80 on Sep 8, 2026 | L, -31.5 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 9, 2026 | RSVR | Bullish (long) | $10.00 | $9.15 on Sep 8, 2026 | L, -22.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 9, 2026 | PRTH | Bullish (long) | $5.63 | $5.23 on Aug 10, 2026 | L, -18.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Jan 15, 2026 | PETS | Bearish (short) | $3.49 | $1.95 on Jul 14, 2026 | W, +53.0 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Sep 17, 2025 | CVGI | Bullish (long) | $1.94 | $3.62 on Mar 16, 2026 | W, +85.2 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Jul 23, 2025 | SCHL | Bullish (long) | $21.83 | $33.31 on Jan 20, 2026 | W, +44.9 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Apr 11, 2025 | NRP | Bullish (long) | $89.99 | $108.53 on Oct 8, 2025 | L, -7.6 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Nov 7, 2024 | NDLS | Bullish (long) | $9.60 | $8.16 on May 6, 2025 | L, -9.6 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
Archive calls not yet scored
| Date | Ticker | Call | Price at call | Current / outcome | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | GDOT | Bullish (long) | $13.29 | $12.68 on Oct 8, 2026 | Not yet scored | post |
| Aug 25, 2026 | ONT | Bullish (long) | $15.33 | $13.71 on Oct 8, 2026 | Not yet scored | post |
| Aug 20, 2026 | PESI | Bullish (long) | $17.30 | $14.16 on Oct 8, 2026 | Not yet scored | post |
| Mar 30, 2026 | TWO | Bullish (long) | n/a | n/a | Unscored (no price history) | post |
| Feb 26, 2026 | CASI | Bearish (short) | n/a | n/a | Unscored (no price history) | post |
| Nov 4, 2025 | FORA | Bullish (long) | n/a | n/a | Unscored (no price history) | post |
| Oct 21, 2025 | KZR | Bullish (long) | n/a | n/a | Unscored (no price history) | post |
Related pages
How we score these calls
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Last updated: October 8, 2026
Not investment advice; for research and education.
FAQ
What is @InvestSpecial's stock-picking track record?
Career record on scored calls: 4-16 (.200 win rate), averaging -11.7 points versus the S&P 500 per call. MCAFax has logged 27 calls from this account as of October 8, 2026.
What is @InvestSpecial's win rate?
.200 on 20 scored calls in the career view (4-16). A win means the call beat the S&P 500 in the called direction over 180 days.
Is @InvestSpecial ranked on the MCAFax leaderboard?
Ranked #8 (career). Players need 15 scored calls to be ranked.
What was @InvestSpecial's best call?
CVGI (long, posted Sep 17, 2025), which finished +85.2 points versus the S&P 500 after 180 days.
What was @InvestSpecial's worst call?
WJL.AX (long, posted Apr 10, 2026), which finished -58.5 points versus the S&P 500 after 180 days.
What stocks is @InvestSpecial calling right now?
MCAFax has no open calls from @InvestSpecial as of October 8, 2026.
What kind of investor is @InvestSpecial?
Style: event-driven / special situations (M&A bumps, activism, liquidations, spin-offs). Added as an extended north star 2026-10-08. Runs Special Situation Investing; posts several dated, named special-sit calls a week with price/target math.
Does @InvestSpecial make more bullish or bearish calls?
Of 27 logged calls, 24 are bullish, 3 bearish and 0 neutral. Scored record by side: longs 2-16, shorts 2-0.
How does MCAFax score these calls?
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Is this investment advice?
No. This page is journalism and research for education. It reports what this investor said publicly and how those calls performed.