Japan Deep Value (@JapanDeepValue1) stock calls: track record, win rate and every call
As of October 8, 2026, MCAFax has logged 20 calls from Japan Deep Value (@JapanDeepValue1): 20 bullish, 0 bearish and 0 neutral. Career record on scored calls: 5-8 (.385 win rate), averaging -3.0 points versus the S&P 500 per call. Leaderboard status: Unranked (career): 13 of the 15 scored calls needed, 2 to go.
Not investment advice; for research and education.
Stat line
| View | Calls scored | W-L | Win % | Avg edge vs S&P | Best call | Worst call | Streak | Last 10 | Longs | Shorts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career | 13 | 5-8 | .385 | -3.0 | 4464.T +55.8 | 4819.T -47.5 | L2 | 4-6 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Season (trailing 12 months) | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | -20.3 | 8841.T +5.2 | 4819.T -47.5 | L2 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Calls scored counts directional calls at least 180 days old, with repeats counted once. Edge is in percentage points versus the S&P 500. Streak and Last 10 run in date order, most recent last.
Ranked or unranked?
Career: Unranked (career): 13 of the 15 scored calls needed, 2 to go. 9 players are ranked on the career board. Season (trailing 12 months): Unranked (season): 5 of the 15 scored calls needed, 10 to go.
A player needs at least 15 scored calls in a view to be ranked. See the leaderboard.
Style and specialty
- Style: Japan deep value / activism
- Why we track this account: Japan net-net and activism specialist; non-consensus, under-covered market.
- Followers on X: 8,346 (checked Oct 8, 2026)
- MCAFax status: Extended roster
Scored calls (game log)
| Date | Ticker | Call | Price at call | Current / outcome | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 7614.T | Bullish (long) | $1,611.00 | $1,532.00 on Aug 24, 2026 | L, -16.0 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 5842.T | Bullish (long) | $3,510.00 | $2,899.00 on Aug 4, 2026 | L, -29.8 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 8841.T | Bullish (long) | $844.00 | $968.00 on Jun 17, 2026 | W, +5.2 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 4819.T | Bullish (long) | $2,815.00 | $1,808.00 on Jun 16, 2026 | L, -47.5 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 9158.T | Bullish (long) | $887.00 | $817.00 on Jun 10, 2026 | L, -13.2 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Sep 15, 2025 | 4464.T | Bullish (long) | $2,461.00 | $3,865.00 on Mar 16, 2026 | W, +55.8 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Apr 23, 2025 | 6627.T | Bullish (long) | $472.00 | $1,080.00 on Oct 21, 2025 | W, +103.5 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Apr 23, 2025 | 6961.T | Bullish (long) | $3,710.00 | $6,300.00 on Oct 20, 2025 | W, +42.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 6101.T | Bullish (long) | $1,802.00 | $2,277.00 on Sep 10, 2025 | W, +8.1 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 6135.T | Bullish (long) | $2,256.00 | $2,312.00 on Sep 8, 2025 | L, -10.1 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 20, 2025 | 7201.T | Bullish (long) | $419.10 | $350.00 on Aug 20, 2025 | L, -21.0 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 6971.T | Bullish (long) | $1,495.50 | $1,706.00 on Jun 3, 2025 | W, +15.8 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3623.T | Bullish (long) | $1,385.00 | $1,188.00 on May 12, 2025 | L, -11.6 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 6627.T | Bullish (long) | $634.00 | $453.80 on Apr 21, 2025 | L, -16.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
Archive calls not yet scored
| Date | Ticker | Call | Price at call | Current / outcome | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | CTRM | Bullish (long) | $2.08 | $1.92 on Oct 8, 2026 | Not yet scored | post |
| Jun 9, 2026 | 4704.T | Bullish (long) | $6,231.00 | $7,500.00 on Oct 9, 2026 | Not yet scored | post |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 6201.T | Bullish (long) | n/a | n/a | Unscored (no price history) | post |
| Sep 11, 2025 | 2389.T | Bullish (long) | n/a | n/a | Unscored (no price history) | post |
| May 7, 2025 | 2344.T | Bullish (long) | n/a | n/a | Unscored (no price history) | post |
| Feb 16, 2025 | 7455.T | Bullish (long) | n/a | n/a | Unscored (no price history) | post |
Related pages
How we score these calls
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Last updated: October 8, 2026
Not investment advice; for research and education.
FAQ
What is @JapanDeepValue1's stock-picking track record?
Career record on scored calls: 5-8 (.385 win rate), averaging -3.0 points versus the S&P 500 per call. MCAFax has logged 20 calls from this account as of October 8, 2026.
What is @JapanDeepValue1's win rate?
.385 on 13 scored calls in the career view (5-8). A win means the call beat the S&P 500 in the called direction over 180 days.
Is @JapanDeepValue1 ranked on the MCAFax leaderboard?
Unranked (career): 13 of the 15 scored calls needed, 2 to go. Players need 15 scored calls to be ranked.
What was @JapanDeepValue1's best call?
4464.T (long, posted Sep 16, 2025), which finished +55.8 points versus the S&P 500 after 180 days.
What was @JapanDeepValue1's worst call?
4819.T (long, posted Dec 18, 2025), which finished -47.5 points versus the S&P 500 after 180 days.
What stocks is @JapanDeepValue1 calling right now?
MCAFax has no open calls from @JapanDeepValue1 as of October 8, 2026.
What kind of investor is @JapanDeepValue1?
Style: Japan deep value / activism. Japan net-net and activism specialist; non-consensus, under-covered market.
Does @JapanDeepValue1 make more bullish or bearish calls?
Of 20 logged calls, 20 are bullish, 0 bearish and 0 neutral. Scored record by side: longs 5-8, shorts 0-0.
How does MCAFax score these calls?
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Is this investment advice?
No. This page is journalism and research for education. It reports what this investor said publicly and how those calls performed.