Kingdom Capital (@kingdomcapadv) stock calls: track record, win rate and every call
As of October 8, 2026, MCAFax has logged 24 calls from Kingdom Capital (@kingdomcapadv): 22 bullish, 2 bearish and 0 neutral. Career record on scored calls: 4-14 (.222 win rate), averaging -17.3 points versus the S&P 500 per call. Leaderboard status: Ranked #9 (career).
Not investment advice; for research and education.
Stat line
| View | Calls scored | W-L | Win % | Avg edge vs S&P | Best call | Worst call | Streak | Last 10 | Longs | Shorts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career | 18 | 4-14 | .222 | -17.3 | ZD +85.2 | HPP -72.2 | L1 | 2-8 | 4-12 | 0-2 |
| Season (trailing 12 months) | 18 | 4-14 | .222 | -17.3 | ZD +85.2 | HPP -72.2 | L1 | 2-8 | 4-12 | 0-2 |
Calls scored counts directional calls at least 180 days old, with repeats counted once. Edge is in percentage points versus the S&P 500. Streak and Last 10 run in date order, most recent last.
Ranked or unranked?
Career: Ranked #9 (career). 9 players are ranked on the career board. Season (trailing 12 months): Ranked #4 (season).
A player needs at least 15 scored calls in a view to be ranked. See the leaderboard.
Style and specialty
- Style: special situations / small-cap value
- Why we track this account: Publishes Kingdom Capital Advisors quarterly letters (Q3 2026 letter posted Oct 6); posts sum-of-the-parts math (e.g. NVRI) and tracks liquidations (NLOP).
- What to keep in mind: Firm account, individual not named in bio; some joke posts (e.g. "psychological short on $META") must not be logged as calls.
- Followers on X: 12,499 (checked Oct 8, 2026)
- MCAFax status: Rotation roster (featured in the daily Market Calls piece)
Current calls (open)
| Date | Ticker | Call | Price at call | Current / outcome | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | EVC | Bullish (long) | $7.12 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Oct 2, 2026 | NLOP | Bullish (long) | $9.74 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Sep 28, 2026 | BBGI | Bullish (long) | $15.29 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Sep 25, 2026 | AENT | Bullish (long) | $4.88 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Sep 25, 2026 | NVRI | Bullish (long) | $19.43 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Sep 24, 2026 | MLCI | Bullish (long) | $3.33 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
What the open calls argue, in our own words:
- EVC (bullish, Oct 6, 2026): EVC thesis hinges on Smadex's staying power; he stays with it despite weak price action.
- NLOP (bullish, Oct 2, 2026): NLOP liquidation progressing: another office asset (6010 Norcross) under contract.
- BBGI (bullish, Sep 28, 2026): A linked deal would help Beasley if it is preparing to sell its Las Vegas station cluster.
- AENT (bullish, Sep 25, 2026): Shares another bull case for Alliance Entertainment (via a linked post).
- NVRI (bullish, Sep 25, 2026): NVRI at ~$530m cap: HE segment at 5-6x a $200m 2028 EBITDA plus rail is worth $1-1.2B+, so roughly a double by a 2028 sale.
- MLCI (bullish, Sep 24, 2026): MLCI's fee-related earnings are inflecting (~$12m run rate vs ~$5m implied) after fund closings and a merger.
Scored calls (game log)
| Date | Ticker | Call | Price at call | Current / outcome | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | HPP | Bearish (short) | $6.56 | $12.16 on Sep 8, 2026 | L, -72.2 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 2, 2026 | ZD | Bullish (long) | $28.01 | $55.15 on Aug 31, 2026 | W, +85.2 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 2, 2026 | LFMD | Bullish (long) | $2.91 | $3.09 on Aug 31, 2026 | L, -5.5 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 2, 2026 | WATT | Bullish (long) | $11.51 | $11.08 on Aug 31, 2026 | L, -15.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 2, 2026 | ECRO | Bullish (long) | $0.11 | $0.08 on Aug 31, 2026 | L, -39.0 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 2, 2026 | SITC | Bullish (long) | $6.22 | $2.95 on Aug 31, 2026 | L, -64.3 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 2, 2026 | ELME | Bullish (long) | $2.14 | $1.68 on Aug 31, 2026 | L, -33.2 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 23, 2026 | MAGN | Bullish (long) | $13.76 | $12.43 on Aug 24, 2026 | L, -20.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 23, 2026 | MLCI | Bullish (long) | $5.17 | $3.12 on Aug 24, 2026 | L, -50.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 20, 2026 | AENT | Bullish (long) | $4.67 | $5.62 on Aug 19, 2026 | W, +8.0 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 20, 2026 | AKA | Bullish (long) | $10.76 | $10.65 on Aug 19, 2026 | L, -13.3 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 13, 2026 | AIV | Bullish (long) | $5.78 | $2.61 on Aug 12, 2026 | L, -68.2 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 9, 2026 | HIMS | Bearish (short) | $23.02 | $31.77 on Aug 10, 2026 | L, -26.2 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 6, 2026 | WW | Bullish (long) | $19.15 | $15.41 on Aug 5, 2026 | L, -33.1 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Jan 27, 2026 | UNFI | Bullish (long) | $36.24 | $49.05 on Jul 27, 2026 | W, +28.7 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Jan 20, 2026 | NLOP | Bullish (long) | $19.82 | $11.71 on Jul 20, 2026 | L, -50.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Jan 8, 2026 | NPK | Bullish (long) | $117.17 | $124.23 on Jul 7, 2026 | L, -2.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Dec 29, 2025 | TSSI | Bullish (long) | $7.11 | $12.00 on Jun 29, 2026 | W, +61.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
In their own words
- EVC (Oct 6, 2026): "Of course $EVC price action is frustrating."
- NLOP (Oct 2, 2026): "After a year of waiting $NLOP's 6010 Norcross has also gone under contract"
- BBGI (Sep 28, 2026): "This would be a nice thing to land if one was about to sell the Vegas cluster... $BBGI"
- AENT (Sep 25, 2026): "Another $AENT bull case"
- NVRI (Sep 25, 2026): "Pretty clean 2 year double"
Related pages
How we score these calls
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Last updated: October 8, 2026
Not investment advice; for research and education.
FAQ
What is @kingdomcapadv's stock-picking track record?
Career record on scored calls: 4-14 (.222 win rate), averaging -17.3 points versus the S&P 500 per call. MCAFax has logged 24 calls from this account as of October 8, 2026.
What is @kingdomcapadv's win rate?
.222 on 18 scored calls in the career view (4-14). A win means the call beat the S&P 500 in the called direction over 180 days.
Is @kingdomcapadv ranked on the MCAFax leaderboard?
Ranked #9 (career). Players need 15 scored calls to be ranked.
What was @kingdomcapadv's best call?
ZD (long, posted Mar 3, 2026), which finished +85.2 points versus the S&P 500 after 180 days.
What was @kingdomcapadv's worst call?
HPP (short, posted Mar 11, 2026), which finished -72.2 points versus the S&P 500 after 180 days.
What stocks is @kingdomcapadv calling right now?
Open calls: AENT (bullish), BBGI (bullish), EVC (bullish), MLCI (bullish), NLOP (bullish), and NVRI (bullish).
What kind of investor is @kingdomcapadv?
Style: special situations / small-cap value. Publishes Kingdom Capital Advisors quarterly letters (Q3 2026 letter posted Oct 6); posts sum-of-the-parts math (e.g. NVRI) and tracks liquidations (NLOP).
Does @kingdomcapadv make more bullish or bearish calls?
Of 24 logged calls, 22 are bullish, 2 bearish and 0 neutral. Scored record by side: longs 4-12, shorts 0-2.
How does MCAFax score these calls?
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Is this investment advice?
No. This page is journalism and research for education. It reports what this investor said publicly and how those calls performed.