MuddyWatersResearch (@muddywatersre) stock calls: track record, win rate and every call
As of October 8, 2026, MCAFax has logged 7 calls from MuddyWatersResearch (@muddywatersre): 2 bullish, 5 bearish and 0 neutral. Career record on scored calls: 3-2 (.600 win rate), averaging -8.0 points versus the S&P 500 per call. Leaderboard status: Unranked (career): 5 of the 15 scored calls needed, 10 to go.
Not investment advice; for research and education.
Stat line
| View | Calls scored | W-L | Win % | Avg edge vs S&P | Best call | Worst call | Streak | Last 10 | Longs | Shorts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | -8.0 | FRHC +36.0 | APP -82.2 | W3 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 2-2 |
| Season (trailing 12 months) | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | +7.5 | SOFI +13.6 | SGD.V +1.5 | W2 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
Calls scored counts directional calls at least 180 days old, with repeats counted once. Edge is in percentage points versus the S&P 500. Streak and Last 10 run in date order, most recent last.
Ranked or unranked?
Career: Unranked (career): 5 of the 15 scored calls needed, 10 to go. 9 players are ranked on the career board. Season (trailing 12 months): Unranked (season): 2 of the 15 scored calls needed, 13 to go.
A player needs at least 15 scored calls in a view to be ranked. See the leaderboard.
Style and specialty
- Style: activist short (occasional longs)
- Why we track this account: Carson Block's Muddy Waters; long public record of named short reports (and Sohn long pitches).
- What to keep in mind: Combative personal posts (e.g. 2025-07-22 insult thread); Block sits on board of a stock he promotes (MFG) - conflicts disclosed by him.
- MCAFax status: Extended roster
Scored calls (game log)
| Date | Ticker | Call | Price at call | Current / outcome | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | SOFI | Bearish (short) | $17.63 | $17.65 on Sep 14, 2026 | W, +13.6 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Nov 25, 2025 | SGD.V | Bullish (long) | 14.08 CAD | 15.90 CAD on May 25, 2026 | W, +1.5 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| May 22, 2025 | FRHC | Bearish (short) | $177.89 | $137.32 on Nov 18, 2025 | W, +36.0 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 27, 2025 | APP | Bearish (short) | $327.62 | $651.18 on Sep 23, 2025 | L, -82.2 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 3, 2025 | FTAI | Bearish (short) | $128.71 | $150.09 on Sep 2, 2025 | L, -8.9 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
Archive calls not yet scored
Related pages
How we score these calls
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Last updated: October 8, 2026
Not investment advice; for research and education.
FAQ
What is @muddywatersre's stock-picking track record?
Career record on scored calls: 3-2 (.600 win rate), averaging -8.0 points versus the S&P 500 per call. MCAFax has logged 7 calls from this account as of October 8, 2026.
What is @muddywatersre's win rate?
.600 on 5 scored calls in the career view (3-2). A win means the call beat the S&P 500 in the called direction over 180 days.
Is @muddywatersre ranked on the MCAFax leaderboard?
Unranked (career): 5 of the 15 scored calls needed, 10 to go. Players need 15 scored calls to be ranked.
What was @muddywatersre's best call?
FRHC (short, posted May 22, 2025), which finished +36.0 points versus the S&P 500 after 180 days.
What was @muddywatersre's worst call?
APP (short, posted Mar 27, 2025), which finished -82.2 points versus the S&P 500 after 180 days.
What stocks is @muddywatersre calling right now?
MCAFax has no open calls from @muddywatersre as of October 8, 2026.
What kind of investor is @muddywatersre?
Style: activist short (occasional longs). Carson Block's Muddy Waters; long public record of named short reports (and Sohn long pitches).
Does @muddywatersre make more bullish or bearish calls?
Of 7 logged calls, 2 are bullish, 5 bearish and 0 neutral. Scored record by side: longs 1-0, shorts 2-2.
How does MCAFax score these calls?
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Is this investment advice?
No. This page is journalism and research for education. It reports what this investor said publicly and how those calls performed.