Z (@ZeeContrarian1) stock calls: track record, win rate and every call
As of October 8, 2026, MCAFax has logged 33 calls from Z (@ZeeContrarian1): 24 bullish, 8 bearish and 1 neutral. Career record on scored calls: 12-11 (.522 win rate), averaging +3.6 points versus the S&P 500 per call. Leaderboard status: Ranked #5 (career).
Not investment advice; for research and education.
Stat line
| View | Calls scored | W-L | Win % | Avg edge vs S&P | Best call | Worst call | Streak | Last 10 | Longs | Shorts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career | 23 | 12-11 | .522 | +3.6 | NBIS +85.7 | NBIS -115.4 | L2 | 5-5 | 6-9 | 6-2 |
| Season (trailing 12 months) | 23 | 12-11 | .522 | +3.6 | NBIS +85.7 | NBIS -115.4 | L2 | 5-5 | 6-9 | 6-2 |
Calls scored counts directional calls at least 180 days old, with repeats counted once. Edge is in percentage points versus the S&P 500. Streak and Last 10 run in date order, most recent last.
Ranked or unranked?
Career: Ranked #5 (career). 9 players are ranked on the career board. Season (trailing 12 months): Ranked #2 (season).
A player needs at least 15 scored calls in a view to be ranked. See the leaderboard.
Style and specialty
- Style: special situations / contrarian
- Why we track this account: Self-described former Wall Street professional; posts sized positions (e.g. SNAP 34.5% of portfolio) with explicit upside/downside math; 10.9K posts since 2013.
- What to keep in mind: Former-WS claim is self-reported; posts a biotech disclaimer on some ideas; concentrated portfolio.
- Followers on X: 47,536 (checked Oct 8, 2026)
- MCAFax status: Rotation roster (featured in the daily Market Calls piece)
Current calls (open)
| Date | Ticker | Call | Price at call | Current / outcome | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | SNAP | Bullish (long) | $5.78 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Oct 7, 2026 | ZIM | Bullish (long) | $29.20 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Oct 6, 2026 | ZIM | Bullish (long) | $29.20 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (reiteration, counted once) | post |
| Oct 6, 2026 | SNAP | Bullish (long) | $5.61 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Oct 2, 2026 | STAA | Bullish (long) | $22.38 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Oct 2, 2026 | IREN | Neutral / watch | $40.65 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Watch only (neutral calls are not scored) | post |
| Oct 2, 2026 | SPX | Bullish (long) | 7,666.45 (index) | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Oct 1, 2026 | UBER | Bullish (long) | $68.51 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (reiteration, counted once) | post |
| Oct 1, 2026 | SNAP | Bullish (long) | $5.40 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Oct 1, 2026 | ZIM | Bullish (long) | $29.32 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
What the open calls argue, in our own words:
- SNAP (bullish, Oct 7, 2026): Second activist letter (Blue Duck Capital) adds pressure on SNAP management; small improvements could drive a big move.
- ZIM (bullish, Oct 7, 2026): Hold ZIM either way: $35 Hapag-Lloyd cash deal plus dividends, or ~$27 floor backed by >$30/share year-end cash and buybacks if the deal breaks.
- ZIM (bullish, Oct 6, 2026): Says the Oct 6 guidance raise confirmed his earlier call that guidance was too low.
- SNAP (bullish, Oct 6, 2026): SNAP only needs cost discipline and better monetization to roughly double; CEO incentives are aligned.
- STAA (bullish, Oct 2, 2026): Still a big STAA holder given the buyback and an analyst upgrade, despite not knowing why the stock fell.
- IREN (neutral, Oct 2, 2026): Skeptical that a large stake transfer is positive for IREN; the new holder may sell into the market.
- SPX (bullish, Oct 2, 2026): Record-low S&P 500 dividend yield reflects tech reinvesting for growth, which he reads as bullish.
- UBER (bullish, Oct 1, 2026): Position update: stop-loss hit on half of UBER, still holding the other half.
- SNAP (bullish, Oct 1, 2026): A leading AR + social platform valued at ~$9B is mispriced; an AR partner and lower stock comp could re-rate it.
- ZIM (bullish, Oct 1, 2026): Hapag-Lloyd's effective cost (~$45/share incl. FIMI carve-out) implies the buyer values ZIM at $60-70.
Scored calls (game log)
| Date | Ticker | Call | Price at call | Current / outcome | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | SCO | Bullish (long) | $31.60 | $19.58 on Oct 5, 2026 | L, -55.5 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 27, 2026 | GC=F | Bullish (long) | $4,376.30 | $4,318.40 on Sep 23, 2026 | L, -20.3 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 19, 2026 | STAA | Bullish (long) | $18.58 | $22.45 on Sep 15, 2026 | W, +6.3 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 10, 2026 | BNTX | Bullish (long) | $102.16 | $98.66 on Sep 8, 2026 | L, -16.3 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 8, 2026 | CL=F | Bearish (short) | $90.90 | $93.03 on Sep 8, 2026 | W, +11.5 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Mar 3, 2026 | XLE | Bearish (short) | $56.52 | $63.96 on Aug 31, 2026 | L, -0.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 28, 2026 | VXX | Bearish (short) | $28.90 | $18.36 on Aug 28, 2026 | W, +48.6 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 28, 2026 | UVXY | Bearish (short) | $39.65 | $18.45 on Aug 28, 2026 | W, +65.6 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 26, 2026 | NOW | Bullish (long) | $104.23 | $127.00 on Aug 25, 2026 | W, +11.3 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 17, 2026 | UBER | Bullish (long) | $70.53 | $74.99 on Aug 17, 2026 | L, -6.9 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 17, 2026 | AMZN | Bullish (long) | $201.15 | $261.31 on Aug 17, 2026 | W, +16.7 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 13, 2026 | CLBT | Bullish (long) | $13.70 | $15.25 on Aug 12, 2026 | L, -2.1 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 12, 2026 | CRWV | Bullish (long) | $95.15 | $90.32 on Aug 11, 2026 | L, -16.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 9, 2026 | ZIM | Bullish (long) | $20.68 | $25.21 on Aug 10, 2026 | W, +10.1 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CRM | Bullish (long) | $191.35 | $192.74 on Aug 7, 2026 | L, -11.2 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Feb 3, 2026 | PLX | Bullish (long) | $2.73 | $2.32 on Aug 3, 2026 | L, -24.9 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Jan 29, 2026 | ACHR | Bearish (short) | $7.73 | $4.82 on Jul 28, 2026 | W, +44.1 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Jan 27, 2026 | NBIS | Bullish (long) | $97.87 | $187.88 on Jul 27, 2026 | W, +85.7 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Jan 26, 2026 | KMDA | Bullish (long) | $8.56 | $6.99 on Jul 27, 2026 | L, -25.0 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Jan 23, 2026 | CL=F | Bullish (long) | $59.36 | $86.83 on Jul 22, 2026 | W, +37.8 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Jan 22, 2026 | PYPL | Bearish (short) | $57.15 | $55.85 on Jul 21, 2026 | W, +10.9 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Jan 22, 2026 | IREN | Bearish (short) | $52.26 | $41.29 on Jul 21, 2026 | W, +29.6 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
| Jan 22, 2026 | NBIS | Bearish (short) | $96.85 | $216.92 on Jul 21, 2026 | L, -115.4 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
In their own words
- SNAP (Oct 7, 2026): "The Blue Duck Capital letter to $SNAP is another green shoot."
- ZIM (Oct 7, 2026): "If the buyout happens, shareholders get paid."
- ZIM (Oct 6, 2026): "Blowout quarter for $ZIM, as expected."
- SNAP (Oct 6, 2026): "Snap doesn't need a miracle."
- STAA (Oct 2, 2026): "I'm still a big holder of $STAA , especially with the buyback and the recent analyst upgrade."
Related pages
How we score these calls
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Last updated: October 8, 2026
Not investment advice; for research and education.
FAQ
What is @ZeeContrarian1's stock-picking track record?
Career record on scored calls: 12-11 (.522 win rate), averaging +3.6 points versus the S&P 500 per call. MCAFax has logged 33 calls from this account as of October 8, 2026.
What is @ZeeContrarian1's win rate?
.522 on 23 scored calls in the career view (12-11). A win means the call beat the S&P 500 in the called direction over 180 days.
Is @ZeeContrarian1 ranked on the MCAFax leaderboard?
Ranked #5 (career). Players need 15 scored calls to be ranked.
What was @ZeeContrarian1's best call?
NBIS (long, posted Jan 27, 2026), which finished +85.7 points versus the S&P 500 after 180 days.
What was @ZeeContrarian1's worst call?
NBIS (short, posted Jan 22, 2026), which finished -115.4 points versus the S&P 500 after 180 days.
What stocks is @ZeeContrarian1 calling right now?
Open calls: IREN (neutral), SNAP (bullish), SPX (bullish), STAA (bullish), UBER (bullish), and ZIM (bullish).
What kind of investor is @ZeeContrarian1?
Style: special situations / contrarian. Self-described former Wall Street professional; posts sized positions (e.g. SNAP 34.5% of portfolio) with explicit upside/downside math; 10.9K posts since 2013.
Does @ZeeContrarian1 make more bullish or bearish calls?
Of 33 logged calls, 24 are bullish, 8 bearish and 1 neutral. Scored record by side: longs 6-9, shorts 6-2.
How does MCAFax score these calls?
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Is this investment advice?
No. This page is journalism and research for education. It reports what this investor said publicly and how those calls performed.