Affirm Holdings (AFRM) stock calls: who's bullish, who's bearish, and their track records
As of October 8, 2026, MCAFax has logged 1 call on Affirm Holdings (AFRM) from 1 tracked investor: 0 bullish, 1 bearish and 0 neutral. The most recent is bearish, posted by @KerrisdaleCap on Jan 21, 2026 when AFRM last closed at $71.10. Of 1 scored call, 1 beat the S&P 500 in the called direction over 180 days.
Not investment advice; for research and education.
Who is bullish and who is bearish on AFRM?
Unique call. Only Kerrisdale Capital (@KerrisdaleCap) has a logged call on AFRM, so there is no consensus to measure yet. A call nobody else in our database is making is, by definition, non-consensus among the voices we track.
Every logged AFRM call
| Date | Player | Call | Price at call | Current / outcome | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | Kerrisdale Capital (@KerrisdaleCap) | Bearish (short) | $71.10 | $75.32 on Jul 20, 2026 | W, +3.6 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
Dates are the post date in US Central time. Prices are closes in the listing currency.
The bull case for AFRM
No tracked investor has a current bullish thesis on AFRM.
The bear case for AFRM
No tracked investor has a current bearish thesis on AFRM.
- Archive: 1 earlier bearish call on AFRM went 1-0 against the S&P 500.
Thesis lines are MCAFax summaries in our own words; follow the source link for the author's full post.
In their own words
- @KerrisdaleCap (Jan 21, 2026): "We are short $AFRM."
Track records of the players calling AFRM
| Player | Calls on AFRM | Career W-L | Win % | Avg edge vs S&P | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerrisdale Capital (@KerrisdaleCap) | 1 | 10-5 | .667 | +16.2 | Ranked #1 (career) |
See the full market-calls leaderboard for every player's record.
How we score these calls
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Last updated: October 8, 2026
Not investment advice; for research and education.
FAQ
Who is bullish on Affirm Holdings (AFRM)?
As of October 8, 2026, none of the investors MCAFax tracks has made a bullish call on AFRM.
Who is bearish on AFRM?
As of October 8, 2026, @KerrisdaleCap has logged bearish calls on AFRM. None of them has a current open bearish call.
What is the consensus on AFRM among tracked investors?
Only one tracked investor (@KerrisdaleCap) has a logged call on AFRM, so it is a unique, non-consensus call for now.
What price was AFRM at when these calls were made?
Prices at call ranged from $71.10 to $71.10. The most recent call was made when AFRM last closed at $71.10. We use the last close known when each post went up.
How have past AFRM calls performed?
1 of 1 scored call on AFRM beat the S&P 500 in the called direction over 180 days.
Is there a contrarian call on AFRM?
Unique call. Only Kerrisdale Capital (@KerrisdaleCap) has a logged call on AFRM, so there is no consensus to measure yet. A call nobody else in our database is making is, by definition, non-consensus among the voices we track.
How does MCAFax score stock calls?
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Where do these calls come from?
Public posts on X by investors MCAFax tracks. Each call links to the original post, and we log only posts that name a ticker and take a side. Theses are summarized in our own words.
Is this investment advice?
No. This page is journalism and research for education. It reports what tracked investors said and how their past calls performed.
How often is the AFRM page updated?
It is regenerated from the MCAFax market-calls database whenever new calls are logged or scored. This version is current as of October 8, 2026.