Nova Minerals (NVA) stock calls: who's bullish, who's bearish, and their track records
As of October 8, 2026, MCAFax has logged 2 calls on Nova Minerals (NVA) from 1 tracked investor: 0 bullish, 2 bearish and 0 neutral. The most recent is bearish, posted by @sprucepointcap on Sep 29, 2026 when NVA last closed at $5.34. Of 1 scored call, 1 beat the S&P 500 in the called direction over 180 days.
Not investment advice; for research and education.
Who is bullish and who is bearish on NVA?
Unique call. Only Spruce Point Capital (@sprucepointcap) has a logged call on NVA, so there is no consensus to measure yet. A call nobody else in our database is making is, by definition, non-consensus among the voices we track.
Every logged NVA call
| Date | Player | Call | Price at call | Current / outcome | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Spruce Point Capital (@sprucepointcap) | Bearish (short) | $5.34 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Spruce Point Capital (@sprucepointcap) | Bearish (short) | $6.29 | $5.06 on Aug 19, 2026 | W, +31.9 pts vs S&P 500 (180 days) | post |
Dates are the post date in US Central time. Prices are closes in the listing currency. Open calls are not marked to market on this page; they are scored 180 days after the post.
The bull case for NVA
No tracked investor has a current bullish thesis on NVA.
The bear case for NVA
- Late 10-K filing at Nova Minerals threatens the bull case and possibly its $43m DoW grant. (Spruce Point Capital (@sprucepointcap), Sep 29, 2026; source)
- Archive: 1 earlier bearish call on NVA went 1-0 against the S&P 500.
Thesis lines are MCAFax summaries in our own words; follow the source link for the author's full post.
In their own words
- @sprucepointcap (Sep 29, 2026): "we believe it should be significantly hampered"
- @sprucepointcap (Feb 20, 2026): "We have serious concerns with management, the Board and shareholder connections here."
Track records of the players calling NVA
| Player | Calls on NVA | Career W-L | Win % | Avg edge vs S&P | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spruce Point Capital (@sprucepointcap) | 2 | 11-6 | .647 | +10.4 | Ranked #2 (career) |
See the full market-calls leaderboard for every player's record.
How we score these calls
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Last updated: October 8, 2026
Not investment advice; for research and education.
FAQ
Who is bullish on Nova Minerals (NVA)?
As of October 8, 2026, none of the investors MCAFax tracks has made a bullish call on NVA.
Who is bearish on NVA?
As of October 8, 2026, @sprucepointcap has logged bearish calls on NVA. Current bearish voices: @sprucepointcap.
What is the consensus on NVA among tracked investors?
Only one tracked investor (@sprucepointcap) has a logged call on NVA, so it is a unique, non-consensus call for now.
What price was NVA at when these calls were made?
Prices at call ranged from $5.34 to $6.29. The most recent call was made when NVA last closed at $5.34. We use the last close known when each post went up.
How have past NVA calls performed?
1 of 1 scored call on NVA beat the S&P 500 in the called direction over 180 days.
Is there a contrarian call on NVA?
Unique call. Only Spruce Point Capital (@sprucepointcap) has a logged call on NVA, so there is no consensus to measure yet. A call nobody else in our database is making is, by definition, non-consensus among the voices we track.
How does MCAFax score stock calls?
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Where do these calls come from?
Public posts on X by investors MCAFax tracks. Each call links to the original post, and we log only posts that name a ticker and take a side. Theses are summarized in our own words.
Is this investment advice?
No. This page is journalism and research for education. It reports what tracked investors said and how their past calls performed.
How often is the NVA page updated?
It is regenerated from the MCAFax market-calls database whenever new calls are logged or scored. This version is current as of October 8, 2026.