iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) stock calls: who's bullish, who's bearish, and their track records
As of October 8, 2026, MCAFax has logged 1 call on iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) from 1 tracked investor: 0 bullish, 0 bearish and 1 neutral. The most recent is neutral, posted by @SpecialSitsNews on Oct 7, 2026 when TLT last closed at $77.28. None of these calls has been scored yet; calls are scored 180 days after the post.
Not investment advice; for research and education.
Who is bullish and who is bearish on TLT?
Unique call. Only Special Situations Research Newsletter (Jay) (@SpecialSitsNews) has a logged call on TLT, so there is no consensus to measure yet. A call nobody else in our database is making is, by definition, non-consensus among the voices we track.
Every logged TLT call
| Date | Player | Call | Price at call | Current / outcome | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Special Situations Research Newsletter (Jay) (@SpecialSitsNews) | Neutral / watch | $77.28 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Watch only (neutral calls are not scored) | post |
Dates are the post date in US Central time. Prices are closes in the listing currency. Open calls are not marked to market on this page; they are scored 180 days after the post.
The bull case for TLT
No tracked investor has a current bullish thesis on TLT.
The bear case for TLT
No tracked investor has a current bearish thesis on TLT.
Neutral and watch-list views
- If the Treasury stops issuing 10-30Y bonds, long bonds (TLT) could see a short squeeze. (Special Situations Research Newsletter (Jay) (@SpecialSitsNews), Oct 7, 2026; source)
Thesis lines are MCAFax summaries in our own words; follow the source link for the author's full post.
In their own words
- @SpecialSitsNews (Oct 7, 2026): "If they just stop issuing 10-30Y bonds like the UK you could get a short covering $TLT"
Track records of the players calling TLT
| Player | Calls on TLT | Career W-L | Win % | Avg edge vs S&P | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Situations Research Newsletter (Jay) (@SpecialSitsNews) | 1 | 0-0 | - | - | No scored calls yet |
See the full market-calls leaderboard for every player's record.
How we score these calls
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Last updated: October 8, 2026
Not investment advice; for research and education.
FAQ
Who is bullish on iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)?
As of October 8, 2026, none of the investors MCAFax tracks has made a bullish call on TLT.
Who is bearish on TLT?
As of October 8, 2026, none of the investors MCAFax tracks has made a bearish call on TLT.
What is the consensus on TLT among tracked investors?
Only one tracked investor (@SpecialSitsNews) has a logged call on TLT, so it is a unique, non-consensus call for now.
What price was TLT at when these calls were made?
Prices at call ranged from $77.28 to $77.28. The most recent call was made when TLT last closed at $77.28. We use the last close known when each post went up.
How have past TLT calls performed?
No TLT call has been scored yet. Calls are scored 180 days after the post against the S&P 500.
Is there a contrarian call on TLT?
Unique call. Only Special Situations Research Newsletter (Jay) (@SpecialSitsNews) has a logged call on TLT, so there is no consensus to measure yet. A call nobody else in our database is making is, by definition, non-consensus among the voices we track.
How does MCAFax score stock calls?
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Where do these calls come from?
Public posts on X by investors MCAFax tracks. Each call links to the original post, and we log only posts that name a ticker and take a side. Theses are summarized in our own words.
Is this investment advice?
No. This page is journalism and research for education. It reports what tracked investors said and how their past calls performed.
How often is the TLT page updated?
It is regenerated from the MCAFax market-calls database whenever new calls are logged or scored. This version is current as of October 8, 2026.