Blue Orca Capital (@blueorcainvest) stock calls: track record, win rate and every call
As of November 5, 2026, MCAFax has logged 4 calls from Blue Orca Capital (@blueorcainvest): 3 bullish, 1 bearish and 0 neutral. None of these calls has been scored yet, so there is no win-loss record. Leaderboard status: Unranked (no scored calls yet).
Not investment advice; for research and education.
Stat line
| View | Calls scored | W-L | Win % | Avg edge vs S&P | Best call | Worst call | Streak | Last 10 | Longs | Shorts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Season (trailing 12 months) | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Calls scored counts directional calls at least 180 days old, with repeats counted once. Edge is in percentage points versus the S&P 500. Streak and Last 10 run in date order, most recent last.
Ranked or unranked?
Unranked. A player needs 15 scored calls to be ranked, and Blue Orca Capital (@blueorcainvest) has none yet.
A player needs at least 15 scored calls in a view to be ranked. See the leaderboard.
Style and specialty
- Style: activist short
- Why we track this account: Activist short seller; publishes named short reports with disclosed short positions (EQPT report 2026-09-24). Backtest check 2026-10-20 run 2 (not promoted): from:blueorcainvest original posts 2024-10-20..2026-04-20 contain only 7 dated specific calls (BWIN short 2024-10-30, TDOC short 2025-02-19, HSAI short 2025-03-18, 007340.KS long 2025-04-08, NUTX short 2025-07-22, AYA.TO short 2025-09-25, SGML short 2026-02-26). 180d vs ^GSPC (shorts inverted, last close before post): 3-4 (.429), avg excess +2.76 pts (SGML +35.21, TDOC +48.08, BWIN +11.14; AYA.TO -20.97, NUTX -30.49, HSAI -17.07, 007340.KS -6.57). Fails criterion (1): fewer than 15 calls and hit rate below 55%. Rows not inserted; rotation/north_star unchanged.
- What to keep in mind: Discloses it is short and profits if the stock falls.
- Followers on X: 18,460 (checked Oct 20, 2026)
- MCAFax status: Tracked voice (not on the daily rotation)
Current calls (open)
| Date | Ticker | Call | Price at call | Current / outcome | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | 9247.T | Bullish (long) | $1,771.00 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 9502.T | Bullish (long) | $2,605.50 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 6963.T | Bullish (long) | $4,060.00 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Sep 24, 2026 | EQPT | Bearish (short) | $18.08 | $16.26 on Oct 26, 2026 | Open (not yet scored) | post |
What the open calls argue, in our own words:
- 9247.T (bullish, Oct 19, 2026): Says TRE Holdings' 5bn yen Toshiba LP stake could be worth 42.6bn-87.4bn yen, at the high end more than its standalone book value; stock trades near book.
- 9502.T (bullish, Oct 19, 2026): Says Chubu Electric's 100bn yen Toshiba LP stake could be worth 852bn-1,748bn yen, adding 1,128-2,314 yen per share to book (44%-90% of the share price); stock trades below book.
- 6963.T (bullish, Oct 19, 2026): Says Rohm's Toshiba buyout LP stake (bought for 100bn yen LP plus preferred in 2023) is carried near cost but could return 8.5x-17.5x post-tax as Toshiba prepares to relist; core power-semi business inflecting.
- EQPT (bearish, Sep 24, 2026): Alleges undisclosed first-loss guarantees and repurchase promises to OWN Program investors create hidden liabilities and inflate EBITDA margins.
In their own words
- 9247.T (Oct 19, 2026): "all of which hold hidden stakes in the Toshiba buyout on their balance sheet that could be worth 80-96% of their current market cap"
- 9502.T (Oct 19, 2026): "all of which hold hidden stakes in the Toshiba buyout on their balance sheet that could be worth 80-96% of their current market cap"
- 6963.T (Oct 19, 2026): "all of which hold hidden stakes in the Toshiba buyout on their balance sheet that could be worth 80-96% of their current market cap"
- EQPT (Sep 24, 2026): "We doubt this is true."
Related pages
- Market-calls leaderboard
- Ticker pages: 6963.T, 9247.T, 9502.T, EQPT
How we score these calls
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Last updated: November 5, 2026
Not investment advice; for research and education.
FAQ
What is @blueorcainvest's stock-picking track record?
None of these calls has been scored yet, so there is no win-loss record. MCAFax has logged 4 calls from this account as of November 5, 2026.
What is @blueorcainvest's win rate?
There is no win rate yet because none of @blueorcainvest's logged calls has been scored.
Is @blueorcainvest ranked on the MCAFax leaderboard?
Unranked (no scored calls yet). Players need 15 scored calls to be ranked.
What was @blueorcainvest's best call?
There is no best call yet because no call has been scored.
What was @blueorcainvest's worst call?
There is no worst call yet because no call has been scored.
What stocks is @blueorcainvest calling right now?
Open calls: 6963.T (bullish), 9247.T (bullish), 9502.T (bullish), and EQPT (bearish).
What kind of investor is @blueorcainvest?
Style: activist short. Activist short seller; publishes named short reports with disclosed short positions (EQPT report 2026-09-24). Backtest check 2026-10-20 run 2 (not promoted): from:blueorcainvest original posts 2024-10-20..2026-04-20 contain only 7 dated specific calls (BWIN short 2024-10-30, TDOC short 2025-02-19, HSAI short 2025-03-18, 007340.KS long 2025-04-08, NUTX short 2025-07-22, AYA.TO short 2025-09-25, SGML short 2026-02-26). 180d vs ^GSPC (shorts inverted, last close before post): 3-4 (.429), avg excess +2.76 pts (SGML +35.21, TDOC +48.08, BWIN +11.14; AYA.TO -20.97, NUTX -30.49, HSAI -17.07, 007340.KS -6.57). Fails criterion (1): fewer than 15 calls and hit rate below 55%. Rows not inserted; rotation/north_star unchanged.
Does @blueorcainvest make more bullish or bearish calls?
Of 4 logged calls, 3 are bullish, 1 bearish and 0 neutral.
How does MCAFax score these calls?
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Is this investment advice?
No. This page is journalism and research for education. It reports what this investor said publicly and how those calls performed.