The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) stock calls: who's bullish, who's bearish, and their track records
As of November 5, 2026, MCAFax has logged 4 calls on The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) from 3 tracked investors: 1 bullish, 2 bearish and 1 neutral. The most recent is bearish, posted by @DeepSailCapital on Nov 3, 2026 when CAKE last closed at $112.96. None of these calls has been scored yet; calls are scored 180 days after the post.
Not investment advice; for research and education.
Who is bullish and who is bearish on CAKE?
Split view. Among current calls, 1 player leans bullish and 1 player leans bearish. The contrarian side right now is bullish: Deep Sail Capital (@DeepSailCapital).
Every logged CAKE call
| Date | Player | Call | Price at call | Current / outcome | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Deep Sail Capital (@DeepSailCapital) | Bearish (short) | $112.96 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (reiteration, counted once) | post |
| Oct 20, 2026 | nThereDoneThat Capital (@BeenThereCap) | Neutral / watch | $116.18 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Watch only (neutral calls are not scored) | post |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Deep Sail Capital (@DeepSailCapital) | Bearish (short) | $116.18 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Juan Carlos Arancibia (@IBD_JArancibia) | Bullish (long) | $112.37 | Open; scored 180 days after the post | Open (not yet scored) | post |
Dates are the post date in US Central time. Prices are closes in the listing currency. Open calls are not marked to market on this page; they are scored 180 days after the post.
The bull case for CAKE
- IBD writer says Cheesecake Factory has become the top-rated restaurant stock and is in buy range (IBD technical framework). (Juan Carlos Arancibia (@IBD_JArancibia), Oct 14, 2026; source)
The bear case for CAKE
- Chart-based: points to an unfilled gap at $89-$92 on Cheesecake Factory, about 21% below the price. (Deep Sail Capital (@DeepSailCapital), Nov 3, 2026; source)
- Sees Cheesecake Factory at about 25x next-twelve-months EPS as a short; restaurant valuations are cyclical and he doubts recent comps (possibly World Cup traffic) will last. (Deep Sail Capital (@DeepSailCapital), Oct 20, 2026; source)
Neutral and watch-list views
- Cautions against shorting Cheesecake Factory at 25x NTM EPS: he lost heavily doing so in 2009-2010 and asks whether depressed margins could cycle back up. (nThereDoneThat Capital (@BeenThereCap), Oct 20, 2026; source)
Thesis lines are MCAFax summaries in our own words; follow the source link for the author's full post.
In their own words
- @DeepSailCapital (Nov 3, 2026): "There is a huge gap on the chart at $89-$92 (21% downside)"
- @BeenThereCap (Oct 20, 2026): "I lost SO MUCH MONEY shorting $CAKE and some other restaurants at 25x NTM EPS."
- @DeepSailCapital (Oct 20, 2026): "I love a good restaurant that gets to 25x NTM EPS."
- @IBD_JArancibia (Oct 14, 2026): "Cheesecake Factory $CAKE, which has elevated itself to the No. 1 stock in the restaurant industry, is in buy range."
Track records of the players calling CAKE
| Player | Calls on CAKE | Career W-L | Win % | Avg edge vs S&P | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nThereDoneThat Capital (@BeenThereCap) | 1 | 0-0 | - | - | No scored calls yet |
| Deep Sail Capital (@DeepSailCapital) | 2 | 13-12 | .520 | +8.9 | Ranked #6 (career) |
| Juan Carlos Arancibia (@IBD_JArancibia) | 1 | 0-0 | - | - | No scored calls yet |
See the full market-calls leaderboard for every player's record.
How we score these calls
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Last updated: November 5, 2026
Not investment advice; for research and education.
FAQ
Who is bullish on The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)?
As of November 5, 2026, @IBD_JArancibia has logged bullish calls on CAKE. Current bullish voices: @IBD_JArancibia.
Who is bearish on CAKE?
As of November 5, 2026, @DeepSailCapital has logged bearish calls on CAKE. Current bearish voices: @DeepSailCapital.
What is the consensus on CAKE among tracked investors?
Tracked investors are split on CAKE: 1 bullish and 1 bearish among current calls.
What price was CAKE at when these calls were made?
Prices at call ranged from $112.37 to $116.18. The most recent call was made when CAKE last closed at $112.96. We use the last close known when each post went up.
How have past CAKE calls performed?
No CAKE call has been scored yet. Calls are scored 180 days after the post against the S&P 500.
Is there a contrarian call on CAKE?
Split view. Among current calls, 1 player leans bullish and 1 player leans bearish. The contrarian side right now is bullish: Deep Sail Capital (@DeepSailCapital).
How does MCAFax score stock calls?
A call wins when, 180 days after the post, the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction the investor called (a long must outperform the index, a short must underperform it). Edge is the gap versus the S&P 500 in percentage points. Price at call is the last close known at the time of the post (Yahoo Finance daily bars, split-adjusted, in the listing currency). Track records cover calls from roughly the past year.
Where do these calls come from?
Public posts on X by investors MCAFax tracks. Each call links to the original post, and we log only posts that name a ticker and take a side. Theses are summarized in our own words.
Is this investment advice?
No. This page is journalism and research for education. It reports what tracked investors said and how their past calls performed.
How often is the CAKE page updated?
It is regenerated from the MCAFax market-calls database whenever new calls are logged or scored. This version is current as of November 5, 2026.