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Front Page › Markets & Main Street › From Wall Street

Market Calls, Investigated

Steele Bancorp (STLE): A Pennsylvania Bank at Under 7x Cash Earnings After Q3

Steele Bancorp closed at $49.01 on October 23, 2026 after earning $1.60 a share in Q3. A micro-cap fund manager who calls it his largest bank position says the stock trades under 7 times run-rate cash earnings. We check the amortization math, the 1.69% return on assets, the deposit mix shift, rising nonperforming assets and thin trading.

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A miniature steel bank building tips a brass jeweler's scale beside measuring calipers on a dark oak desk.
Market Calls, Investigated · Markets & Main Street

Steele Bancorp, Inc. (OTC: STLE), the parent of Central Penn Bank & Trust, closed at $49.01 on October 23, 2026, a one-year high, after reporting third-quarter 2026 earnings of $1.60 a share. Tim Eriksen of Cedar Creek Partners says Steele Bancorp trades at under 7x its Q3 run-rate cash earnings and calls it the largest bank position in his fund. The price looks low on earnings, but the stock is thinly traded, and deposits and problem assets moved the wrong way in the quarter.

This is journalism and commentary, not investment advice. We hold no position unless stated.

Key facts

  • Company: Steele Bancorp, Inc., Mifflinburg, Pennsylvania; 12 offices in Centre, Northumberland, Snyder and Union counties.
  • Deal history: formed in its current shape by the August 1, 2025 merger with Northumberland Bancorp.
  • Q3 2026: net income $5.46 million, or $1.60 a share; return on assets 1.69%, return on equity 17.15%.
  • Margin: net interest margin 4.46% (4.53% tax-equivalent); net interest income up 38.1% to $13.63 million.
  • Size: total assets $1.28 billion, loans $911.2 million, about 3.41 million shares.
  • Book value: $37.20 a share; tangible book about $33.80 by our math.
  • Liquidity of the stock: median daily volume of about 350 shares over the last three months, per Yahoo Finance data.

Is STLE a good bet right now?

The valuation case is simple. At $49.01, Steele Bancorp trades at about 7.7x annualized GAAP earnings, 1.32x book value and 1.45x tangible book, for a market value near $167 million by our math.

The case against is about quality and trading. Nonperforming assets rose to 0.80% from 0.18% a year earlier, and a stock that trades a few hundred shares a day can move sharply on small orders.

Why are investors bullish on Steele Bancorp?

  • Merger earnings are showing up. Quarterly EPS has run $1.64, $1.43, $1.54 and $1.60 over the last four quarters, per the company.
  • High returns. A 1.69% return on assets is strong for a community bank.
  • Funding cost. Cost of funds was 2.00% in Q3, and Eriksen says overall deposit costs fell.
  • Non-cash charges. Core deposit intangible amortization was $622,000 in the quarter, which bulls add back to get "cash" earnings.
  • Income. Dividends of $0.76 and $0.75 a share were paid in the last year, about a 3.1% yield at $49.01.

Who's making this call and why?

Tim Eriksen is a micro-cap investor who runs Cedar Creek Partners and is also CEO of Solitron Devices. On October 23 he wrote: "Stock is trading at under 7 times Q3 run rate." His math adds $0.18 of intangible amortization to the $1.60 of EPS for $1.78 of cash EPS, or $7.12 a year.

Two notes on that math. The $622,000 of amortization is about $0.18 a share before tax and about $0.15 after tax by our math. At the October 22 close of $47.99 his multiple was 6.7x, and at $49.01 it is 6.9x on his basis or about 7.0x after tax.

This is a repeat call. Eriksen first wrote on March 13, 2026: "I have been building a position in Steele Bancorp $STLE." The stock was $33.25 then.

Track record. In our tracking, Eriksen ranks 2nd on the career scoreboard: 15-6 (a .714 win rate) on 21 calls scored at 180 days against the S&P 500, with an average edge of +21.8 points. His March STLE call beat the index by 25.7 points at 180 days. See the scoreboard.

Other supporters: a search of recent X posts found no other investor making a reasoned case on Steele Bancorp; the other posts relayed the earnings numbers.

Who disagrees?

A small account, Bill R., replied: "Didn't love the sequential decrease in noninterest bearing deposits and the apparent concentration." Eriksen answered that the shift into NOW accounts "is pretty minimal" and that overall deposit costs fell.

The filing supports both sides:

  • Deposit mix. Noninterest-bearing deposits fell to $142.0 million on September 30 from $222.9 million on June 30, while NOW deposits rose to $357.4 million from $262.5 million.
  • Credit. Nonperforming assets were $7.28 million, or 0.80%, up from 0.18% a year earlier.
  • Concentration. The company's own risk list cites large uninsured deposits from certain customers, merger integration and local real estate values.
  • Trading. Thin volume means quoted prices may not hold for larger buyers or sellers.

What are the key facts to verify?

What would prove it right or wrong?

Right: Steele Bancorp keeps quarterly EPS near $1.60 or higher, nonperforming assets stop rising, and the market pays a higher multiple for a bank earning a 1.69% return on assets.

Wrong: problem loans keep climbing, more low-cost deposits leave, or the net interest margin slips from 4.46%, and Steele Bancorp ends up cheap for a reason.

This is journalism and commentary, not investment advice. We hold no position unless stated.

Questions readers actually ask

What does Steele Bancorp (STLE) do?

Steele Bancorp, Inc. (OTC: STLE) is the holding company for Central Penn Bank & Trust, a community bank based in Mifflinburg, Pennsylvania. Steele Bancorp operates 12 offices in Centre, Northumberland, Snyder and Union counties and took its current shape through an August 1, 2025 merger with Northumberland Bancorp. It reported total assets of $1.28 billion and loans of $911.2 million at September 30, 2026.

What is the bullish call on Steele Bancorp (STLE)?

Micro-cap fund manager Tim Eriksen said on October 23, 2026 that Steele Bancorp (STLE) trades at under 7 times its Q3 run-rate cash earnings. He adds $0.18 a share of intangible amortization to third-quarter EPS of $1.60 to get $1.78 of cash EPS, and he says Steele Bancorp is the largest bank position in his fund.

How did Steele Bancorp (STLE) do in the third quarter of 2026?

Steele Bancorp (STLE) earned $5.46 million, or $1.60 a share, in the third quarter of 2026, with a 1.69% return on assets and a 17.15% return on equity. Net interest income rose 38.1% to $13.63 million and the net interest margin was 4.46%, or 4.53% on a tax-equivalent basis.

How cheap is Steele Bancorp (STLE) stock?

At the October 23, 2026 close of $49.01, Steele Bancorp (STLE) traded at about 6.9 times annualized cash EPS of $7.12, about 7.7 times annualized GAAP EPS, and about 1.32 times its $37.20 book value, by our math. Using the after-tax value of the intangible amortization, the cash multiple is about 7.0 times.

What is Tim Eriksen's track record on stock calls?

In our tracking, Tim Eriksen ranks 2nd on the career scoreboard with a 15-6 record (.714) on 21 calls scored at 180 days against the S&P 500 and an average edge of +21.8 points. His first Steele Bancorp (STLE) call, posted March 13, 2026 at $33.25, beat the index by 25.7 points at 180 days.

Does Tim Eriksen own Steele Bancorp (STLE)?

Yes. Tim Eriksen said on October 23, 2026 that Steele Bancorp (STLE) is the largest bank position in his fund, and in March 2026 he said he had been building a position. Readers should weigh his view knowing he is a holder.

What is the bear case on Steele Bancorp (STLE)?

Noninterest-bearing deposits at Steele Bancorp (STLE) fell to $142.0 million at September 30, 2026 from $222.9 million at June 30, and nonperforming assets rose to 0.80% from 0.18% a year earlier. Steele Bancorp also lists large uninsured deposits from certain customers and merger integration among its risks.

Is Steele Bancorp (STLE) stock easy to trade?

No. Steele Bancorp (STLE) trades over the counter and its median daily volume over the last three months was about 350 shares, per Yahoo Finance data. Thin trading means a quoted price of $49.01 may not hold for a larger order.

Does Steele Bancorp (STLE) pay a dividend?

Yes. Steele Bancorp (STLE) paid dividends of $0.76 and $0.75 a share in the last year, about $1.51 in total, which is roughly a 3.1% yield at the October 23, 2026 close of $49.01.

What would prove the Steele Bancorp (STLE) call right or wrong?

The call on Steele Bancorp (STLE) looks right if quarterly EPS holds near $1.60 or higher, problem assets stop rising and the market pays more for its 1.69% return on assets. It looks wrong if nonperforming assets keep climbing, more low-cost deposits leave or the 4.46% net interest margin slips.

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